The Pacers can knock off the Cavaliers, but it won’t be easy
Attack, attack, attack
The majority of the analysis that you’ll read on this series will focus on the things that Cleveland can do to the Pacers. Understandable, their five-out offense is among the league’s most lethal when it’s hitting. However, it also ignores half of the equation. The Cavaliers also have to figure out a way to stop the Pacers.
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If the Pacers can relentlessly pilfer the less-than-stellar Cavalier defense Indy will have more than a punchers chance in the series. To do this, Indiana will need two components to fire concurrently.
The first is unleashing Victor Oladipo. Vic has done well against the Cavs (25 ppg, 44/47/60 FG/3P/FT, 30.8 USG%, 4.8 REB, 5 AST, plus one steal per game in four games against Cleveland) and he’s entering the playoffs on fire (24.8 ppg, 61/52/69 FG/3P/FT over last eight games minus the Toronto debacle).
Ok, he’s not shooting well from the line, but he’s dialed in from everywhere else. That’s going to continue because Cleveland doesn’t have anyone who can stop him. If Vic can play up to the moment and match 80/85% (or better) of LeBron’s point production, Indiana will be in a great spot.
The second is Vic’s wingmen need to keep raining fire from three. Bojan Bogdanovic and Darren Collison are both having career years, Collison is the most accurate three-point shooter in the league. Lately, both have been dialed in. Bogdanovic has been shooting the most three of the pair (51 to Collison’s 22) and is making 45.1% of them. Collison’s making a middling 63.6% of his attempts. Indy doesn’t have the volume of three-point shooters that Cleveland has, but when they take them, they’ve been hitting them.