Who Will Be the Pacers Leading Scorer, Best Shooter, and Biggest Disappointment?

Apr 23, 2016; Indianapolis, IN, USA; Indiana Pacers center Myles Turner (33) walks to the bench in a game against the Toronto Raptors during the first quarter in game four of the first round of the 2016 NBA Playoffs at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. Mandatory Credit: Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports
Apr 23, 2016; Indianapolis, IN, USA; Indiana Pacers center Myles Turner (33) walks to the bench in a game against the Toronto Raptors during the first quarter in game four of the first round of the 2016 NBA Playoffs at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. Mandatory Credit: Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports

The 8 Points, 9 Seconds staff expects the Indiana Pacers to win around 48 games this season.

When the Indiana Pacers get the season started at Bankers Life Fieldhouse tonight agasint the Dallas Mavericks, they’ll take their first step into the 2016-17 NBA season.

There is plenty of uncertainty ahead, but the 8 Points, 9 Seconds staff is ready to forecast and prognosticate the upcoming season.

While many of the experts have lower expectations for the Pacers, the staff believes the Pacers will win roughly 48 games this season, finish second in the Central Division and in the top half of the Eastern Conference.

NameHow many games will the Indiana Pacers win this year?Where will the Pacers finish in the  Central Division?Where will the finish in the
Eastern Conference?
Jon Washburn492nd4th
Ryan Barth502nd4th
Jon LaFollette482nd4th
Jared Wade482nd4th
Will Furr482nd4th
Jacky Neal482nd4th
Scott Stewart463rd5th
Ryan Eggers512nd3rd
Dave Searle482nd5th
Jeremy Comstock482nd3rd
Ben Gibson492nd3rd
Dylan Hughes472nd4th

Last season the staff (on average) underestimated the Indiana Pacers by two wins, so our bias wasn’t strong enough a season ago.

We’ll have to wait and see if that holds true for the 2016-17 campaign, but the consensus is optimistic across the board, with the lowest win total coming in at 46 while the top estimate is 51.

As for who will lead Indiana in scoring, rebounds, assists, and other stats, let’s take a look at all the votes.

NameWho will be the team’s leading scorer?Who will be the team’s second leading scorer?Who will be the leading rebounder?Who will lead the team in blocks?Who will lead the team in assists?Who will lead the team in steals?
Jon WashburnPaul GeorgeJeff TeaguePaul GeorgeMyles TurnerMonta EllisMonta Ellis
Ryan BarthPaul GeorgeJeff TeagueThaddeus YoungMyles TurnerJeff TeagueMonta Ellis
Jon LaFollettePaul GeorgeJeff TeaugeThaddeus YoungMyles TurnerJeff TeaguePaul George
Jared WadePaul GeorgeMonta EllisMyles TurnerMyles TurnerJeff TeaguePaul George
Will FurrPaul GeorgeMonta EllisMyles TurnerMyles TurnerJeff TeaguePaul George
Jacky NealPaul GeorgeJeff TeagueThaddeus YoungMyles TurnerJeff TeaguePaul George
Scott StewartPaul GeorgeMonta EllisAl JeffersonMyles TurnerJeff TeaguePaul George
Ryan EggersPaul GeorgeJeff TeagueThaddeus YoungMyles TurnerJeff TeagueMonta Ellis
Dave SearlePaul GeorgeThaddeus YoungThaddeus YoungMyles TurnerJeff TeaguePaul George
Jeremy ComstockPaul GeorgeJeff TeagueThaddeus YoungMyles TurnerJeff TeaguePaul George
Ben GibsonPaul GeorgeThaddeus YoungThaddeus YoungMyles TurnerMonta EllisJeff Teague
Dylan HughesPaul GeorgeJeff TeagueThaddeus YoungMyles TurnerJeff TeagueJeff Teague

Paul George gets the unanimous vote as the Indiana Pacers leading scorer this season, with Jeff Teague expected to follow-up as the second leading scorer. Monta Ellis and Thaddeus Young also received votes to play second fiddle to PG.

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At first, it may be surprising that anyone but a center or power forward was picked to be the leading rebounder, but Jon Washburn has good reason to think George will lead Indiana this season.

Last year PG (563) actually out-rebounded Ian Mahinmi (507) in total rebounds, though Mahinmi had a better per a game average according to Basketball-Reference.

Myles was unopposed in the voting for leading shot blocker — for good reason — while Jeff Teague got all but two votes (both for Ellis) as the team’s leader in assists.

George (152) and Ellis (150) had a close fought battle in steals last season and that is expected to be the case again, though Teague got a pair of votes for having the stickiest fingers as well.

Indiana’s offense is expected to be the Pacers biggest advantage this season, but Washburn thinks steals will be the Pacers biggest strength, and he is the only one who thinks Indiana has an advantage with anything defensively. (He’s got hot takes sometimes, and we have to shame him for them when he’s wrong.)

The staff likes Al Jefferson and Thaddeus Young to lead the Pacers in field goal percentage, with only Dave Searle going out on a limb with Lavoy Allen. (Even though his shot-making isn’t likely to help the team much given his expected low minute count.)

As far as 3-point shooting goes, George holds a slide edge over C.J. Miles in the polls, and Will Furr thinks backup point guard Aaron Brooks will sneak in to claim that title.

NameWhat will be the team’s biggest strength?Who will end the season with the best FG%?Who will have the team’s best 3-Point percentage?
Jon WashburnStealsAl JeffersonPaul George
Ryan BarthOffensive RatingAl JeffersonPaul George
Jon LaFolletteOffensive RatingAl JeffersonPaul George
Jared WadeOffensive RatingThaddeus YoungC.J. Miles
Will FurrPoints Per GameAl JeffersonAaron Brooks
Jacky NealPaceAl JeffersonC.J. Miles
Scott StewartAst/TO ratioAl JeffersonPaul George
Ryan EggersPaceThaddeus YoungC.J. Miles
Dave SearlePaceLavoy AllenPaul George
Jeremy ComstockPaceThaddeus YoungPaul George
Ben GibsonPaceThaddeus YoungC.J. Miles
Dylan HughesOffensive RatingAl JeffersonC.J. Miles

There was more diversity (with the exception of MVP) in votes for who will be the most and least impressive this season.

Rookies, younger players, and veterans all find their names in the ballot box.

NameBiggest Surprise?Biggest Disappointment?MVPLVP
Jon WashburnRodney StuckeyC.J. MilesPaul GeorgeLavoy Allen
Ryan BarthGlenn Robinson IIIC.J. MilesThaddeus YoungAaron Brooks
Jon LaFolletteGeorges NiangRodney StuckyPaul GeorgeRakeem Christmas
Jared WadeKevin SeraphinGeorges NiangPaul GeorgeRakeem Christmas
Will FurrThaddeus YoungC.J. MilesPaul GeorgeRoy Hibbert
Jacky NealGlenn Robinson IIILavoy AllenPaul GeorgeLavoy Allen
Scott StewartMonta EllisRodney StuckeyPaul GeorgeJoe Young
Ryan EggersRodney StuckeyAl JeffersonPaul GeorgeGeorges Niang
Dave SearleThaddeus YoungAl JeffersonPaul GeorgeAaron Brooks
Jeremy ComstockThaddeus YoungMyles TurnerPaul GeorgeAl Jefferson
Ben GibsonGlenn Robinson IIIAaron BrooksPaul GeorgeKevin Seraphin
Dylan HughesGlenn Robinson IIIAaron BrooksPaul GeorgeAaron Brooks

Jeremy Comstock clarified that he only believes Turner will disappoint this season due to high expectations. He believes Turner is very good, but his season will be plagued by injuries and foul trouble. Naturally “disappointment” and “surprise” are the two most subjective category, so each voter’s preconceptions matter more in those areas than anywhere else.

Also, Furr needs to move on and let his hate for Roy Hibbert go. He’s two teams removed now!

Next: Experts Expect the Indiana Pacers To Hover Above .500

So who do you think? Fill out the survey here and we’ll revisit the answers at the end of the regular season.