Best NBA prop bets today for Pacers vs. Bucks (Bets for Bruce Brown, Obi Toppin)

Breaking down the best prop bets for the Indiana Pacers-Milwaukee Bucks matchup in the NBA In-Season Tournament Semifinals.

 Indiana Pacers forward Bruce Brown (11) dribbles the ball.
Indiana Pacers forward Bruce Brown (11) dribbles the ball. / Trevor Ruszkowski-USA TODAY Sports
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The Indiana Pacers are underdogs on Thursday night in the NBA In-Season Tournament against the Milwaukee Bucks, but that doesn’t mean we can’t wager on them. 

Indiana beat the Bucks – albeit without Damian Lillard – earlier this season, but I’m focused on the prop market with three picks that I love for this matchup. 

We’re focusing on two Indiana role players and one Bucks star for tonight’s picks. 

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Pacers vs. Bucks best NBA prop bets

  • Bruce Brown OVER 2.5 assists
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo OVER 33.5 points
  • Obi Toppin UNDER 3.5 rebounds

Bruce Brown OVER 2.5 assists

Bruce Brown is averaging just 2.8 assists per game this season, but I think he can clear this prop in a game that has a total of 256!

Brown has picked up three or more dimes in eight of his last 10 games, and since Nov. 4 he has just three games where he’s fallen short of this number. 

Tyrese Haliburton leads the team in assists and controls the offense, but Brown has the ball in his hands a fair amount and is a capable passer. He’s a solid pick in this prop especially since he hasn’t had less than two dimes in a game since Nov. 19. 

Giannis Antetokounmpo OVER 33.5 points

This is a dream matchup for Giannis Antetokounmpo, who scored 54 points in the Bucks’ loss to Indiana earlier this season. 

Indiana allows the most points in the paint in the NBA this season (62.6 per game), and that fits in perfectly with the Bucks star’s game. 

The two-time MVP has scored 34 or more points seven times this season and he’s averaging 30.4 points per game over his last 10. While that is short of this prop, the Pacers are No. 28 in defense, No. 1 in pace and should play this game at a crazy speed. 

I expect Giannis to have a strong showing on Thursday. 

Obi Toppin UNDER 3.5 rebounds

I’m fading Obi Toppin on Thursday, as he hasn’t been a consistent enough rebounder for Indiana this season. 

Toppin is averaging just 3.0 rebounds per game despite playing 24.9 minutes per game, and he’s failed to clear 3.5 rebounds in 11 of his 19 games this season. 

It’s been glaring that Toppin isn’t a great rebounder as of late, as he has more than 3.5 boards just once in his last seven games. 

I expect him to struggle on the glass against a big Milwaukee frontcourt tonight.


Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

Find Peter Dewey's NBA betting record here (futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on BetStamp here.