The Philadelphia 76ers and Indiana Pacers played a fast-paced, high-scoring game on Sunday, leading to a 50-point game for Tyrese Maxey and a big game across the board for several players.
Oddsmakers have bumped a ton of props up with these two offenses – No. 1 (Indiana) and No. 3 (Philly) in terms of offensive rating– set to square off in the NBA’s In-Season Tournament on Tuesday night.
Should bettors trust this line movement on these props, or do we fade some of the higher numbers on Tuesday night?
I have three plays that should align well with the Pacers keeping things close as road underdogs.
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Pacers vs. Sixers best NBA prop bets today
- Tyrese Haliburton OVER 21.5 points
- Tobias Harris UNDER 20.5 points
- Tyrese Maxey UNDER 29.5 points
Tyrese Haliburton OVER 21.5 points
Tyrese Haliburton is hot, scoring the ball at a high rate right now, putting up 25, 29, 16, 23 and 43 points in his last five games.
On the season, Haliburton is averaging 23.8 points per game while shooting 51.7 percent from the field and 40.9 percent from beyond the arc.
I think this prop is a little low after he scored 25 points on just 14 shots on Sunday. Hali has six games with 16 or more shot attempts this season, so if his usage jumps, I could see him pushing 25 points again, which would clear this prop.
Tobias Harris UNDER 20.5 points
Philly has played nine games this season, and Harris has cleared 20.5 points in just three games. Despite taking 20 shots on Sunday against Indiana, he still finished with just 18 points.
The total in this game is set at 240.5, which suggests that we’re in for another offensive track meet, but I don’t love expecting Harris to score 21 or more when he’s at best the No. 3 option in the team’s offense.
Until we see Tobias consistently going over this number, take the UNDER.
Tyrese Maxey UNDER 29.5 points
Listen, Maxey went off on Sunday night, recording the first 50-point game of his career, but this line is a massive overreaction to that performance.
Maxey has been terrific this season, but he had failed to score 30 or more points in six straight games before Sunday’s performance. To set his points prop at 29.5 and Joel Embiid’s at 32.5 would suggest Philly has a massive showing again on Tuesday.
One has to think Rick Carlisle’s group tightens up a little on defense against Maxey, so I’ll gladly fade him at this inflated prop on Tuesday.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
Find Peter Dewey's NBA betting record here (futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on BetStamp here.