The Pacers still have a chance to make the play-in tournament and that path gets a lot easier tonight against a struggling Spurs team.
San Antonio has won just two of its past 23 games as it’s sunk to dead last in several NBA categories, including defensive efficiency.
That should bode well for an Indiana team that’s won three of its past four, scoring at least 117 points in each of those games.
I think this Pacers team can take full advantage of a bad defense and a turnover prone offense, and I’ll detail those picks shortly. But first I’ll let you in on the highest-valued promotion in sports betting on Caesars Sportsbook that you could use for tonight’s game!
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Three Bold Predictions for Pacers vs. Spurs
The Spurs have been one of the worst teams in the NBA this season, especially lately, as losing games could help push them toward the top of the NBA Draft.
There aren’t many things the Spurs have done well lately, and it’s time for us to capitalize on those struggles.
If you want to lock in your bonus bets on this game, that’s a good idea as the Pacers are BIG favorites at -225 on the moneyline even with All-Star point guard Tyrese Haliburton listed as a game-time decision.
Here are my top three bold predictions for tonight’s game:
Myles Turner OVER 19.5 Points
February was the best month of the season for Turner, who averaged 21.4 points per game, including a 40-point night over the past four weeks.
This line will hold even more value if Haliburton doesn’t play tonight, but I’d take it even if he does. Turner has scored at least 20 points in seven of his last 10 games. San Antonio is not only last in the NBA in defensive efficiency and points allowed, but also 30th in points allowed in the paint.
Turner’s hot hand coupled with the Spurs’ dead-last defense makes this my favorite play of tonight’s game.
Buddy Hield OVER 3.5 Made 3-pointers
Hield has averaged 3.7 made 3-pointers per game for the past month and 3.8 for the entire season. He’s hit this over in seven of his last 10 games, coming one made 3-pointer shy twice as well.
Hield averages 8.9 3-point attempts this season, meaning he has to make roughly 44.4% of his attempts tonight to hit this over. But the Spurs allow opponents to make 3-pointers at a 39.5% rate – the worst mark in the NBA.
Only Damian Lillard and Klay Thompson have made more 3-pointers than Hield this season. Take the Pacers’ best perimeter shooter against a team that can’t stop shots from beyond the arc tonight.
Buddy Hield OVER 1.5 steals
It’s an all-Pacers prop night and we’re doubling down on Hield here.
Indiana forced the fifth-most turnovers per game in the NBA and Hield has the second-most steals on the team, averaging 1.2 per game this season.
Hield hit this over in just four of 11 games this past month, but that’s why you’re getting plus-odds value here.
The Spurs are second-to-last in the NBA allowing 8.3 steals per game and 15.5 total turnovers each day. Hield getting two steals isn’t far-fetched, especially considering he nabbed a pair of steals in his only game against San Antonio this season.
Take Hield’s steals for some plus-money value on one of the most turnover-prone teams in the NBA.
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.