Paul George's Midrange Excellence

Paul George Jump Shot

Over the past few NBA seasons, advanced metrics and shot charts have become bigger part of the way we analyze players or teams. Anybody who is aware of these metrics is also very much aware that the midrange shot has become one of the hardest shots to make in the NBA, with some even calling it a “lost art.”

For reference, according to Hoop Data, last season the NBA as a whole shot 39.9% from between 3 to 9 feet, 41.9% from between 10 to 15 feet, and 38.4% from between 16 to 23 feet. This is why general wisdom now agrees that the best shots to take are either at the rim or behind the three-point line.

Another thing that should be evident to those who watched the Pacers last season is that there were two main things preventing Paul George from becoming an all-around offensive player. Those two things were his ball handling and inability to create his own shot in the midrange. Last season his shooting percentages from between 3-9 feet (26.5%,), 10-15 feet (34.5%), and 16-23 feet ( 37.0%) were all below league average, according to HoopData.

Paul went into the offseason admitting that ball handling and midrange shooting were the areas of his game that needed to be worked on most. That reason is why I expected those areas to be improved this year. Paul Flannery of SB Nation reported that George would get up 500 shots a day all at game speed, with his trainer Mike Penberthy watching to make sure every single shot had the same stroke.

Even with all the offseason work, I doubt many people thought his accuracy would improve so quickly. But he has come out of the gates this season making nearly everything in the midrange.

Here are two shot charts that show the growth: Paul George’s percentages last season, and his numbers so far this season.

Shotchart 1385909023551

Shotchart 1385909034908

51.1% so far this season!

Just to put that a little bit into perspective: two of the best midrange shooters in the league last, Jose Calderon and Luke Ridnour, shot 48% and 49%, respectively, in between the paint and the three-point arc. Kobe Bryant, who many consider one of the better midrange weapons ever, has never shot above 45% in a season.

Granted, George is only 16 games into a long season, but still!

Going from a slightly below-average midrange shooter to one of the best in the league, even for only 16 games, is the stuff of legends. And the way George has been hitting has been just as pretty as the numbers. He has been hitting Kobe fadeaways, Durant stepbacks and Melo pull ups with ease from the mid range.

All this is just one more reason why the number 10 pick from the 2011 draft may go down as one of the all-time draft steals.

Topics: Stat Talk

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  • Philip Tarrant

    I agree. It’s hard not to be floored by the way PG is playing. I don’t think there’s any way he can shoot like this all year (I hope to be wrong), but watching him play, the shots are all with good form and he’s getting the looks and making them look good. He looks like a legitimate superstar to this point and has been one of the best players in the league to this point in the season.

    • Derek U

      His turnaround jumpers have been flawless, along with his fade away and screen work. I can’t think of a time anyone has seen this much improvement from a player year after year after year. If you aren’t floored, you don’t know basketball.

      • Philip Tarrant

        Completely agreed. It’s not just the results that have improved, it’s the decision making and the process. The percentages still might be inflatedly high, but there aren’t too many shots that he’s forcing and most of the makes are ones you’d be more surprised if they didn’t go in at this point.