The More Things Change…

Depending on your viewpoint, things are looking up in Pacerland. Since the beginning of March the Pacers are 9-9. While they are showing a previously unseen level of offensive efficiency, they have also played themselves into the back end of the lottery. As with every other Pacer fan, I feel completely conflicted about this turn of events. There is talent to be had throughout the Draft Lottery this year, but the Pacers could really use the security of a Top 5 pick. That being said, nothing gives hope for next year quite like finishing the season on a tear. The problem is that this has happened the last two years. Here is the Pacers’ records for the months of March and April the last two years:

  • ‘08-’09   -   11-10
  • ‘07-’08   -   13-10

Each of those seasons finished with me saying “Just wait until next year.” They fooled me twice into thinking they had it figured out and that next season they would finally put the pieces back together. What is it that George W. Bush says about situations like this? Fool me twice? Shame on me? Needless to say, I am a little nervous about getting fooled again.

Many Pacers bloggers and fans have dissected this situation so I don’t have much else to add. I did want to give some previews for some longer more involved posts that are coming up.

  • The Pacers current hot steak has completely nullified the draft strategy suggestions I made in Playing Gm. Part 1, Part 2 and Part 3. I jumped the gun and demonstrated how much faith I had in the team by expecting them to continue losing at the same pace; lesson learned. Part 4 will be delayed until after the draft lottery, when I can appropriately reexamine my recommendations.
  • I began working on a variation of David Thorpe’s (of ESPN) Rookie School. All of a sudden everyone on the roster looks like an All-Star, so I think I will wait until the end of the season before making recommendations about what specific skill sets each player needs to develop. Look for this post some time in May.
  • For the past couple weeks I have been working on a post about Jim O’Brien. A lot of Pacer fans, myself included, have called for him to be fired. There aren’t many statistics which can be used to accurately gauge the positive or negative effect of a coach. I have been working on collecting some, to try and paint an accurate picture of his effectiveness this season. Look for this post soon after the end of the regular season.
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