Game #24 Preview: Stealing a Road Win in Memphis by Shooting Well Against Bad D

Indiana Pacers @ Memphis Grizzlies
Friday, December 18
8:00 PM EST
FedEx Forum
Memphis, Tennessee


Off Rating: pts / 100 possessions Def Rating: pts allowed / 100 possessions
eFG%: FG% accounting for 3PA being worth more Pace: avg possessions per game

When two highly mediocre teams — at best — score off, the home team should win. Much like the Pacers, the Grizzlies have played about .500 ball on their own court this season and been really bad on the road. Since this game is in Memphis, this fact does not bode well for Indy.

The numbers present a good opportunity for the Pacers to score some points, however. By all metrics, the Grizzlies play almost no defense and, since Indy’s offense has been more productive of late, this could be a good night for the squad to pick up a much-need road win. Memphis has allowed at least 97 points in 13 of its last 16 games while the Pacers have amassed at least 98 in each of their last four.

Even better than PPG — something highly dependent on pace — is that Memphis lets teams shoot at a torrid 48.7% from the floor and 38.2% from three. Hopefully, this combined with Troy Murphy making just about everything this month (56.2% shooting and 46.3% from three through 8 games in December), Mike Dunleavy playing like it’s 2007 again (47.1% and 43.8% in December) and TJ Ford coming on of late (scoring 10, 12, 13 and 15 in his last four games) will equal a big Indy win.

Because with the Spurs, Bucks, Celtics and Hawks being their next four opponents, it could be the last good chance for a win until after Santa has already come and gone.

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Tags: Game #24 Game Previews Memphis Grizzlies Troy Murphy

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